eld.gg MLB The Show 25 Stubs: Majority of packs
1. Low Odds of MLB The Show 25 Stubs Pulling Diamonds
The biggest reason packs are risky is the low probability of pulling top-tier cards. In a standard pack:
Diamond player odds: ~2% or less (1 in 50)
Gold player odds: ~10% (1 in 10)
Silver, Bronze, or Common odds: Over 80%
This means that the vast majority of packs will contain cards that are either not useful for your team or not worth anywhere near the pack’s purchase price. You might open 20 packs before seeing a single Diamond, and by then, you’ve spent 30,000 stubs—enough to buy a guaranteed elite player directly from the Marketplace.
2. Stubs Are Better Spent on Certainty
Packs are inherently random. Even if you do pull a Diamond, it could be a low-value one that doesn’t help your lineup or collections.
For example:
You might spend 7,500 stubs on five packs and pull one Gold player worth 2,000 stubs and four silvers worth 100 each. That's a 3,000-stub return at best—less than half your investment.
That same 7,500 stubs could buy a proven 85-87 OVR Diamond hitter who would make an immediate impact.
Buying specific players gives you full control over your roster and avoids the guesswork.
3. You Can’t Sell the Excitement
Many players buy packs for the thrill of opening them. But that excitement doesn't translate into real progress unless you're extremely lucky.
Think of packs like scratch-off lottery tickets:
Occasionally someone wins big, but most people lose more than they gain.
Over time, relying on luck leads to disappointment and wasted resources.
In MLB The Show, your stub balance is precious. Use it strategically instead of rolling the dice.
4. Value Drops Fast
Cards you pull from packs often depreciate in value quickly, especially right after a big content drop when the market floods with new cards.
You might pull a 90 OVR Diamond worth 15,000 stubs on Day 1, but if it’s a common pack reward or becomes outdated, it may drop to 8,000 within a week.
Packs opened during high-traffic periods often yield less return simply due to oversupply.
This volatility makes packs even riskier if you’re trying to build long-term roster value.
5. Duplicate and Useless Pulls Are Common
Even if you do get decent cards, duplicates are a constant risk. Most packs don’t offer trade-ins or guarantees:
Pulling a third copy of a Gold reliever is of little use unless you’re flipping or completing a set.
You’ll often pull players that don’t fit your lineup or collection needs, leaving you to sell them at a loss or hold them indefinitely.
Wasting stubs on cards you didn’t want or need is frustrating and inefficient.
6. Program Rewards Already Include Free Packs
One overlooked point is that MLB The Show 25 gives away a large number of free packs through gameplay:
Featured Programs
Conquest maps
Daily and Weekly Moments
Battle Royale and Ranked Seasons rewards
Mini Seasons and Showdowns
These packs cost nothing and still give you a chance to hit something big. There’s no need to pay extra for the same gamble when you can earn free shots just by playing.
7. Packs Are Best Used with Free or Bonus Stubs
There’s a time and place for opening packs—such as when:
You’ve already built your team and have leftover stubs
You want to complete a chase set or participate in a limited-time event
You earn a large stub reward from gameplay and want to take a calculated risk
In those cases, packs are fine as buy MLB The Show 25 Stubs a fun gamble, not a primary strategy.